Lesenswerte Email im Mailblog von Ralph Rickli
http://www.donneralarm.ch/forum_uploads ... 20SREX.eml
Hinweis zum Lesen: Link mit rechter Maustaste herunterladen und dann z.B. mit dem Thunderbird öffnen.
Der Text der Email folgt am Ende dieses Beitrages.
Bedenkenswert finde ich folgende Aussage:
- The jet stream has shifted towards the poles, meaning that the tracks of rain-bearing low pressure systems have also shifted towards the poles.
Das würde doch bedeuten, dass uns die atlantischen Tiefs weniger als früher erreichen, oder? Wobei mir nicht klar ist, weshalb es zugleich in Südeuropa mehr Troglagen geben soll als früher. Immerhin passt diese Sicht recht gut zur Wetterlage der letzten Wochen.
Gruss Willi
-------------------------------------------------------------
...ein Tipp von Jeff Masters
http://www.ipcc-wg2.gov/SREX/images/upl ... es_opt.pdf
http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/show.html
...passendes Blog-Beispiel zum Thema Stürme und Anstieg des Meeresspiegels - c.f. summary below.
http://www.climatecentral.org/blogs/dan ... of-alaska/
- Globally, cold days and nights have decreased, and warm days and nights have increased (90 - 100% chance).
- In many but not all regions of the globe, the length or number of heat waves has increased.
- Some areas have seen more intense and longer droughts, in particular, southern Europe and West Africa. However, droughts have become less frequent, less intense, or shorter in some areas, such as central North America and northwestern Australia.
- Heavy precipitation events have changed in some regions. There is at least a 2-in-3 probability that more regions have seen increases than decreases in heavy precipitation events.
- The historical data base on hurricanes and tropical cyclones is not good enough to tell if they have changed.
- The jet stream has shifted towards the poles, meaning that the tracks of rain-bearing low pressure systems have also shifted towards the poles.
- Rising sea levels have led to an increase in extreme coastal flooding events (66 - 100% chance).
- Damage from extreme weather events has increased. Increases in population and wealth, and the fact more people are living in vulnerable areas, is a major cause of this increase in damage. It is uncertain if climate change is partially responsible for the increase in damage.
).
.